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Tom Mulcair is the worst thing to ever happen to the NDP.
What a horrendous mistake he was.
#CdnPoli #Elxn45 #CanPoli #NDP
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/david-eby-jagmeet-singh-1.7502359
Reminder: this is what Mulcair said after his party decided to have a leadership race to replace him.
"Mulcair stressed the importance that New Democrats remain "united" going forward, and said his replacement should have the "absolute and complete support of 100 per cent" of the party."
Hypocrite.
https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/article/mulcair-loses-leadership-vote-at-ndp-convention/
Every once in awhile, I wonder if Nathan Cullen had won the leadership of the NDP in 2012 in place of Tom Mulcair, if we would have had our first Federal NDP government.
Nathan was one of the most progressive voices in Parliament.
Instead, we have Mulcair chopping at the knees of "his" former party.
I like Jagmeet Singh a lot, but it seems he's at the end of his rope and a big part is because of insiders like Mulcair never supporting him.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2012_New_Democratic_Party_leadership_election
It seems likely he will be removed if this election plays out as the current conservative pollsters are pushing: they are clearly pushing the narrative of "if not #CPC, then #LPC at any cost!"
Which I find extremely telling. Do we really want to elect Angus Reid's second choice after #PP?
Reality is: most #BC and #AB ridings are more likely to elect #NDP or CPC than LPC. This may be true in #SK & #MB, and elsewhere. We need clean data from the sources, not Fournier's weighted model.
@Amgine yup. Which is why I focus more on the list Fournier helpfully provides of those actual polls.
But of course, the cleanest data of all comes on election day. I just wish we all focused more on that than on the polls, myself included!
There's a generally acknowledged truism: all polls >10 days from the election are substantially wrong, and mostly just marketing by pollsters to get party business.
From day 10 to day 3 out, they begin to be useful, but electorates are fickle.
In the 48 hours before poll there will be attempts to mislead the public, generally playing on themes laid in the first week or two on social media.
Because people are easily tricked for a short period of time.
Best defense: Vote today.
@Amgine @chris no-name liberal candidate in riding X gets votes for Mark Carney. But well known NDP candidate can win riding by campaigning locally and without getting help from no-name NDP leader. So polling depends on whether people are asked by party preference, party leader preference or preference for specific candidates in their ridings.
I do not know about the current polling practices of Canadian pollsters.
Yes, the pollsters can influence the data collected by the instrument (the specific questions asked, and how they are asked.)
But an issue, for me in previous elections, has been the reliance on 3rd party corporations to acquire subjects. The resulting pool is particularly abnormal - they may be paid or rewarded to participate, often cannot be verified to be in Canada or potential voters.