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#gpc

2 posts2 participants0 posts today
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Greengordon

The Greens of Canada continue their slide into oblivion. That's too bad, because their voice is needed.

"The Leaders' Debates Commission, which is tasked with organizing the French and English debates, has removed the Green Party from federal leaders' debates for failing to meet participation requirements."

#cdnpoli #GPC #Canada

cbc.ca/news/politics/leaders-d

CBCGreen Party dropped from leaders' debates for not running enough candidates | CBC NewsThe Leaders' Debates Commission, which is tasked with organizing the French and English debates, has removed the Green Party from federal leaders’ debates for failing to meet participation requirements. 
Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

End of the 3rd work-week of the campaign and the last before advance voting starts!
(You can go here for info on voting before election day!
elections.ca/content2.aspx?sec)

Projections and poills are pretty static but there are some small moves.

338 project the Liberals at 196 seats (a majority), CPC at 120, Bloc at 17, NDP at 8, and -- for the first time -- the Greens holding their 2 seats.

As for actual polls below, the national polls are very static. I'm starting to wonder if there is a heartbeat in the people taking these polls. lol.

The Quebec poll is a little more interesting. The Liberals have definitely come down from on-high but remain with a giant lead in opinion which is likely the biggest reason they are also likely to win a majority.

Canada: 338canada.com/polls.htm
Quebec: 338canada.com/polls-qc.htm
#CanPoli #Poll #CdnPoli #Elxn45 #LPC #CPC #Bloc #NDP #GPC

The National polls show very little change from the start of the election with all parties keeping to their order of Liberal, CPC, NDP, Bloc and Green.
ALT
The Quebec graph is a little more interesting. The Liberal line is up over 50% in the middle of the graph a couple weeks ago, but have since come down to 40%. The Bloc and CPC are together around 25% and the NDP is consistent around 5-8%.
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Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

National and Quebec polls March 23 (start of #elxn45) to April 7.

I've changed the time series to only be since the Election was called on March 23 so we can see how things have changed... or not.

National: All parties remaining near where they have been since campaign start. Will anything push these numbers?

Quebec: Pretty much the same but the one thing you can say for sure is the Liberals have come off their very high highs of 50% and are now back down to Earth, but there is still a significant lead over the Bloc and CPC.

The NDP bumps around in the doldrums under 10%. The Green and PPC vote are nearly irrelevant.

These are reported at 338canada.com
They are the raw poll numbers, not seat projections.
National polls are only those rated "A" by 338canada.
Quebec are all polls.

A graph showing 6 lines, red, blue, orange, light blue, green, purple. The red and blue, Liberal and CPC, are near the top fluctuating between 40% and 45% vs 35% and 40% respectively. The orange line for the NDP is the next, around 8%. Just below is light blue Bloc party. Mostly at or above 5% but fluctuating lately. Green and Purple PPC are together near 2-3%
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The kind of graph but this shows the liberal red line with a large gap as it sits around 40-50% and the Bloc and CPC crisscross each other for the length of the graph around 20-30%. The NDP is next at 5% most recently and the green and PPC are together around 2-3%
ALT
#CanPoli#CdnPoli#Polls
Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

Polls up to April 6 as reported by 338 (these are the poll numbers as reported, not projections)

I'm including both the National and Quebec numbers because there is some interesting movement in the Bloc numbers nationally downward, but it is not reflected in the Quebec numbers themselves. It seems that half Quebec polls have the Bloc polling around 20% and the other around 30%. A rather huge difference.

However, there does seem to be a decline in Liberal support in Quebec over the past week.
#CanPoli #CdnPoli #Elxn45 #Polls #LPC #Bloc #NDP #CPC #GPC

National polls shows the Liberals and Conservatives keeping a steady gap between around 40 and 35% respectively. The NDP is rock steady at 8% for a few days now while the Bloc has dropped to the 2% range with the Greens and PPC.
ALT
The Quebec graph shows a large lead for the Liberals, but it may be narrowing with the Bloc (though this goes against the Bloc trend in the national polls) The CPC and NDP are fairly stable at around 20% and 10% respectively.
ALT
Replied to Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸
Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

I had to look a little more into the Quebec specific polls to see if there were any trends there, so I recreated the same graph with Quebec polls.

It is hard to make out from the very noisy Bloc and CPC numbers but the Bloc did go below 20%. These are Liaison provincial polls which appear to be consistently the lowest for the Bloc.

There doesn't really seem to be any discernible trend for the Bloc or CPC. Both are fluctuating wildly between pollsters. But the Liberal and the NDP numbers are showing a decline and slight upward trend respectively.

I'll post these Quebec numbers with the national numbers tomorrow and going forward just to keep an eye on it.

A graph of All Quebec Polls by 338canada.com between February 1 and April 5 shows the Liberal red line goes up after the election call with a large gap between it and the blue Bloc and CPC lines. The NDP, Green and PPC are clustered at the bottom.
ALT
#Elxn45#CanPoli#CdnPoli
Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

Is someting happening in Quebec?!

The Bloc have broken below the 5% (national poll) barrier twice in the latest two days of polling, which is for April 4th and 5th.

Mainstreet polls, 4% on the 4th, then 3% on the 5th.
There are also Liaison “B" grade (not included on graph) polling that pegged them at 4% in their four most recent pollings since April 2nd.

LPC/CPC still within usual bounds. NDP steady.

338canada.com/polls.htm

Polls show a marked decline in Bloc support in polls done late last week while Conservative and Liberal support risings slightly but still within the bounds
ALT
#Elxn45#CanPoli#CdnPoli
Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

Looking at the latest polls on this the eve of the 3rd week… everyone is still in their band that they've been in since March 24.

But I do notice the Bloc has hit a new low of 4%.🤔

A sign of a subtle shift in seat-rich Quebec?

Note, the graph below only shows the “A rated" national polls as listed at 338canada.com.

LPC: continuing in their band, but on a short downward.
CPC: continuing in their band, but on a short upward.
NDP: fairly stable around 8%
GPC/PPC: wallowing under 5%

338canada.com/polls.htm
#CanPoli #CdnPoli #Elxn45 #Bloc #NDP #LPC #CPC #GPC

A line chart showing the parties.
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Greengordon

@chris

This is why I want the NDP holding the balance of power. Carney will shovel money at corporations, this has the slim hope it would be Crown Corporations. [If the Greens held power, for sure it would be Crown Corporations.]

"Money from Victory Bonds will be dedicated entirely to getting Canadians to work building public infrastructure like: roads, rail, housing, waterworks, ports, that we will own for generations," the party said"

#NDP#GPC
Replied to Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸
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Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

Updated for polls up to April 1.

Edit: The NDP support is definitely off the lows and is starting to impact seat predictions. We can see it in Manitoba especially. Not so much Ontario, but races in BC are also starting to become competitive where they looked like a CPC sweep.

Probably a function of the local races/candidates coming into focus plus voters crystallizing opinions on Trump and applying to their ridings.

A line chart with 6 lines of different colours titled National Polls as reported by 338canada.com red/liberal are steady near 45% blue/cpc are a little more bouncy between 35 and 40%. orange/ndp are fluctuating between 5 and 10%. light blue/bloc steady near 5%. green and purple, GPC and PPC, are together around 3%.
ALT
#TrumpTariffs#Elxn45#CanPoli
Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

I created a line chart from the data of polls tracked by 338Canada.com. I wanted to see it myself.

Nothing revelatory here but I really wanted to watch that CPC and NDP trend. This makes it easier than looking at the table.

Looks like the CPC is stuck in the 35-40% band. The LPC has reached its peak around 45% and the NDP and Bloc found their bottoms at 6% and 4% respectively.

Will the #TrumpTariffs produce a shift?

338canada.com/polls.htm
#Elxn45 #CanPoli #CPC #LPC #NDP #Bloc #GPC #PPC

A chat shows red, blue, orange, light blue, green, and purple lines. They are quite ‘noisy’ but do show general trends with red and blue toward the top above 35% and the others below 15%.
ALT
Replied to Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸
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Chris Alemany🇺🇦🇨🇦🇪🇸

I just trolled around the four English party websites.
I will avoid completing their address so one doesn’t get previewed but here they are fyi:

Conservative. Ca
Liberal. Ca
NDP. Ca
Green Party.Ca

Interesting differences.

The #cpc have no candidates listed. Only messages from Dear Leader, and it’s sparse. Mostly just his transcribed words. The ironic part is I have seen door hangers for the CPC candidate in my riding, but no idea what his name is. If it is anything like the provincial election, I expect MASSIVE CPC signage in my riding. It didn’t work provincially… we’ll see what happens now.

The #LPC have many candidates listed and ready, lots of content. No one mentioned for my riding. (They are not generally a contender)

The #NDP has almost all candidates listed but ironically, not mine even though I just received a sign, but the site is ready with similarly lots of content.

The #GPC has only a handful of candidates, but our local candidate @chrismarkevich is listed.

With such an incredibly short campaign there will not be much time for parties to fill out the details. No doubt everyone will be hyper focused on GOTV efforts. Advance voting will begin in just a couple weeks!

Edit: just counted candidates on each page.
CPC: 0
LPC: 185
NDP: 111
GPC: 80
There are 343 ridings.
#elxn45 #NDP #CPC #canPoli #cdnpoli #elxn45

I’m mostly white. Paige is in the screenshot from the conservative party website. The menu shows the team. Paul have shadow cabinet MPs in national council along with general links. Nothing about candidates.
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A screenshot from the liberal webpage shows a full listing of manual links, including candidates. All in a red on white theme.
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A screenshot from the NDP shows it’s menu exposed on the right hand side with links to get to the candidates as well as other stuff. On the left, the homepage content shows through with a picture of Jagmeet Singh smiling on an orange background.
ALT
A screenshot from the green party page shows a simple for item menu, including candidates. On a solid green background.
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Greengordon

@auxonic

I wouldn’t trust his judgment. He was spewing Russian propaganda recently:

"In an interview last month on CBC Radio's The House discussing the anniversary of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Pedneault questioned whether Canada should continue to supply the country with offensive weapons."

cbc.ca/news/politics/green-par

CBCGreen Party co-leader walks back comments suggesting Ukraine would push war into Russia | CBC NewsThe Green Party’s new co-leader is apologizing for suggesting that Ukrainian forces could potentially bring the war with Russia beyond Ukraine’s borders.
#GPC
Peter V. Tretter ✅ 🇨🇦

Green Leader’s Defence of Canadian Sovereignty Going Viral dlvr.it/THGLq5 @cdnpoli #CanadianGreens #GPC #cdnpoli

Green Party of CanadaGreen Leader’s Defence of Canadian Sovereignty Going ViralOTTAWA - Elizabeth May's defence of Canadian sovereignty and message to President-elect Donald Trump were delivered at the Parliamentary Press Theatre on Friday, January 3rd. Subsequently posted on a number of US social media sites, it has now gone viral. No other Canadian leader has as directly reached the American audience, with over 700K views on Occupy Democrats via Youtube, re-postings on Twitter gaining over 7.5 million views, Instagram reels gaining over 2.9 million views, and other Youtube coverage, including global news sources, gaining a combined 3 million views. On January 8, Elizabeth May's January 3 response to President-elect Trump was featured on US news Channels CNN and Fox news, as well as in the media in the UK and Mexico.
Peter V. Tretter ✅ 🇨🇦

Green Party Supports Special Interlocutor Report, Calls for Immediate Action on Enforced Disappearances of Indigenous Children dlvr.it/TFsWVt @cdnpoli #CanadianGreens #GPC #cdnpoli

Green Party of CanadaGreen Party Supports Special Interlocutor Report, Calls for Immediate Action on Enforced Disappearances of Indigenous ChildrenOTTAWA  — The Green Party of Canada today voiced its full support for the recommendations of Mohawk lawyer Kimberly Murray, Canada’s Special Interlocutor on residential school gravesites, who released a landmark report this week. The report calls for urgent action, including establishing a Commission of Investigations into the Enforced Disappearance of Indigenous Children in Canada, to bring justice and accountability for the thousands of Indigenous children who never returned from residential schools. "Kimberly Murray’s report shows us that the work is far from over,” said Leader Elizabeth May. “There is an undeniable urgency in pursuing justice for the countless Indigenous children who were taken and never returned to their families. We must establish a Commission of Investigations without delay, as this is a fundamental step toward truth and reconciliation. The Green Party stands in full support of her recommendations."
Peter V. Tretter ✅ 🇨🇦

Green Party Supports Teamsters, Asks the Government to Consider Nationalizing Canadian Railways dlvr.it/TD1lyF @cdnpoli #CanadianGreens #GPC #cdnpoli

Green Party of CanadaGreen Party Supports Teamsters, Asks the Government to Consider Nationalizing Canadian RailwaysWINNIPEG - The Green Party of Canada (GPC) stands in solidarity with the Teamsters union, echoing their concerns regarding the recent decision by the Canada Industrial Relations Board (CIRB) to order an end to work stoppages at Canadian Pacific (CP) and Canadian National Railway (CN). In response, GPC’s Labour Critic and Elmwood-Transcona by-election candidate Nic Geddert and GPC Leader Elizabeth May will host a Labour-focused press conference in Winnipeg on September 9, 2024, addressing these pressing issues. The GPC denounces the dangerous precedent set by the CIRB’s decision, which undermines workers' rights to strike and engage in collective bargaining. "This is a blow to workers’ rights in Canada, and we must stand with the Teamsters to defend fair treatment, safety, and dignity on the job," said Leader Elizabeth May.
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SPQR

Has there ever been a more feckless, poll driven, and visionless leader of the NDP than Singh? If he isn't pandering to right wing dimwits, he's parroting thei right's propaganda. The NDP should be in 1st place with a floundering LPC. Instead, they are losing support and seats.
#Cdnpoli #NDP #LPC #GPC #democracy #Canada #gimmicks
thestar.com/politics/federal/t

Toronto StarThe Liberal-NDP deal is dead. Here’s what got done – and what didn’tBy Raisa Patel
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